Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 9.939679 11.473325 13.120889 15.017268 17.134398 19.419829 22.067985
2025-08-17 7.557144 9.553654 11.856386 14.688861 18.058013 21.915597 26.643317
2025-08-24 6.114123 8.299238 10.961332 14.403423 18.692640 23.815597 30.346651
2025-08-31 5.006037 7.239067 10.093596 13.946594 18.940289 25.117611 33.250918
2025-09-07 4.358691 6.661300 9.729685 14.025288 19.778478 27.103942 37.005234
2025-09-14 3.818040 6.146007 9.370365 14.037654 20.476687 28.889333 40.526157
2025-09-21 3.418391 5.773729 9.153649 14.196177 21.339461 30.886938 44.363483
2025-09-28 3.035848 5.375799 8.851544 14.189832 21.944653 32.533623 47.764992
2025-10-05 2.805885 5.182764 8.822866 14.557368 23.070951 34.911149 52.217913
2025-10-12 2.576110 4.961030 8.724460 14.800998 24.012728 37.049513 56.396764
2025-10-19 2.338289 4.696935 8.532300 14.877956 24.696927 38.831473 60.118252
2025-10-26 2.034691 4.282694 8.060737 14.479503 24.633139 39.517165 62.284445
2025-11-02 1.783955 3.935704 7.672811 14.189959 24.723293 40.437216 64.836006
2025-11-09 1.560213 3.610374 7.290692 13.877478 24.750985 41.252554 67.248439
2025-11-16 1.370674 3.325670 6.951054 13.605155 24.815712 42.109238 69.730051
2025-11-23 1.181873 3.016133 6.536292 13.169387 24.582059 42.484904 71.482369
2025-11-30 1.081034 2.876727 6.421269 13.244445 25.184562 44.167340 75.258249
2025-12-07 0.982987 2.730039 6.278256 13.256240 25.674514 45.680493 78.807946
2025-12-14 0.910031 2.629903 6.215920 13.407449 26.402518 47.588880 83.017107
2025-12-21 0.827837 2.496750 6.075288 13.401397 26.852932 49.057589 86.568628
2025-12-28 0.787140 2.458173 6.123345 13.752030 27.938661 51.588456 91.863241
2026-01-04 0.738709 2.393766 6.111494 13.984495 28.820309 53.805172 96.707017
2026-01-11 0.680899 2.297035 6.022055 14.057933 29.415238 55.558440 100.842820